Blog Posts - Us Fed



Sensex, Nifty charts (Dec 16, 2016): bulls forced to yield some ground

FIIs and DIIs joined forces and turned bearish during a week when transaction volumes slipped by 3%. FIIs were net sellers of equity worth Rs 36.1 Billion, while DIIs were also net sellers of equity worth a more modest Rs 0.23 Billion.Despite all the...

Gold and Silver charts: an update

Gold Chart Pattern The daily bar chart pattern of gold tried to cling on to the 1200 level for a few days, but the force of gravity (i.e. bear selling) pulled it all the way down to 1150 – where it is trying to find a temporary bottom. All thr...

About US Fed’s QE3 (non)tapering and its effect on our stock market – a guest post

In an effort to kick-start the growth engine of the struggling US economy following a recession, the US Fed (equivalent to India’s RBI) has unleashed a flood of cheap liquidity in a low interest rate regime through its Quantitative Easing programme...

Did the Sensex jump up due to the ‘Butterfly Effect’?

The short answer to that question is: It seems so. For the long answer, a small digression is necessary. The term ‘Butterfly Effect’ is used in ‘Chaos Theory’ to explain why a small change in the initial condition of a complex, non-linear sys...

As Good As It Gets

As Good As It Gets I was going to leave the following observations to a more comprehensive blog post I’m working on. But after the euphoria of last weeks seasonally adjusted US initial unemployment claims coming in better than Wall Street conse...
by VR View on Feb 18, 2013

It’s Almost Too Quiet

It’s almost too quiet these days in the capital markets. Despite the Wall Street MSM continuing to pump the theme “everyone hates equities” and aside from the fact that the anemic trading volumes on the US equity markets (and equity...
by VR View on Feb 15, 2013

Why Such Fuss About US Interest Rates?

This is one of those topics where one has apprehension about posting publicly because the topic can be argued so many different ways. And to make it worse, it’s like residential real estate, everyone has an opinion.  I’m going to talk ab...
by VR View on Jan 11, 2013

US Employment: Notes For 2012

I promised some notes on the US Employment situation for 2012. The best that can be said about US employment during 2012 is that at least the growth rate seems to have settled around a level (1.39% year over year for December 2012) that allows the &#...
by VR View on Jan 7, 2013

Identifying the Next US Equity Trend

Continued surprise in how well US equity markets are holding up: Given the relatively poor US economic data so far in 4Q12, I continue to be surprised the US equity market (as measured by the S&P 500) has done as well as it has in the latest mini...
by VR View on Dec 30, 2012

Valuing Consumerism in the 2% Growth World

The below set of graphs shows the relative performance of the S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary sector vs. the overall S&P 500 index.  A somewhat conflicting data set relative to the previous post about the 2% real final sales slow growth world...
by VR View on Dec 7, 2012

US Fed chief Bernanke briefs lawmakers on eurozone

More »US Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke on Thursday briefed the US Senate’s Democratic majority on the danger to the United States from the eurozone crisis threatening the world economy, lawmakers said. “Chairman Bernanke...
by Penny Stock DD on Oct 20, 2011

Australian index below 4,000 points as US warning jolts investors

More » Australian shares dropped below the psychological 4,000 level for the second time this month as the US Fed’s warnings that the world’s largest economy faces a grim economic outlook jolted investors. Full article Regards,...
by Penny Stock DD on Sep 21, 2011


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