nathmaniedeo Profile

Join Date:
2009-08-20

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This blog is about concepts, observations, and intuitions that can help all traders become better.. traders.

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Other Tags: system trading, trend following, futures trading, forex, commodity trading

Latest Blog Posts

  • A True Bull Market Is Underway
    on Jan 27, 2011 in Food For Thought
    I have posted several articles on what I believe to be one of the best opportunities to make money in quite some time. The theme is to invest in agriculture for the long term. This is not a trading idea, and in fact there is technical evidence as w...
  • Self Inflicted Pain: Dealing With Trading Slumps And Drawdown
    on Jan 21, 2011 in Trading Psychology
    There has been much tragedy in my life; where at least half of it actually happened – MARK TWAIN   Why do we always feel so bad when we are in a trading slump, or in a draw down if we are trading a system? Do we not realize that this is pa...
  • FOOD FOR THOUGHT….Literally
    on Dec 7, 2010 in Food For Thought
    I have written a number of times about the opportunity for investment in the agricultural sector of the commodities markets, if one has patience for a long term investment. I think it is postured to compete with any other asset class for risk adjuste...
  • Do You Want To Be Right Or Rich?
    on Nov 11, 2010 in Trading Psychology
    Perhaps it is better to be irresponsible and right, than to be responsible and wrong – WINSTON CHURCHILL   I don’t know about you but I think it’s pretty confusing out there right now. How are the government interventions to the financial...
  • The Bond Bubble Revisited
    on Nov 3, 2010 in Food For Thought
      Common sense is the knack of seeing things as they are, and doing things as they ought to be done – C.E. Stowe     I commented back on August 31st about the fact that we see bubbles everywhere, and that the US Bond market was the next victim.
  • Trust Yourself
    on Oct 26, 2010 in Trading Psychology
    Well, you’re on your own, you always were, In a land of wolves and thieves, Don’t put your hope in ungodly man, Or be a slave to what somebody else believes – BOB DYLAN Most traders and investors that I know are quicker to accept data processed...
  • Hot Commodities: The Place To Be
    on Oct 19, 2010 in Food For Thought
    As one watches the day to day advice on CNBC, you will notice that we are inundated with stock advice. Bank of America this, Goldman Sachs that, and of course Apple Computer will run the world shortly. But when it comes to commodities, they are rarel...
  • Trading Your EdgeHere’s the thing. If you can’t spot the sucker in your first half hour at the table, then you’re the sucker   – MATT DAMON from the movie Rounders   I think most of us will agree in order to be successful trading we need some kind of an ed...
  • From Hypothetical To Reality – Back Testing And Simulation
    on Sep 14, 2010 in Trading Methods
      By Charles Maley and Nick Pingitore     I don’t know how to sit outside myself and test against a hypothetical self who stayed home – THOM GUNN    I have had the great pleasure of working with Nick Pingitore for the last 10 years.
  • Diamonds In The Ruff
    on Sep 7, 2010 in Favorites
    Here are some excerpts from our readers favorite post over the last year or so. If you like the sample just click to read the full post: “Analysis can be equated with poker. Security analysts carefully follow the table talk of the game and examine...
  • Blowing Bubbles
    on Aug 31, 2010 in Food For Thought
      Common sense is the knack of seeing things as they are, and doing things as they ought to be done – C.E. Stowe    The American media is officially obsessed with sensational terminology when describing the financial markets these days. Noth...
  • Water Water Everywhere And Not A Drop To Drink – Or Grow Crops (Part 2)
    on Aug 26, 2010 in Food For Thought
      If you can tell me something else where the fundamentals are so attractive…I’d be happy to put my money there, but I don’t know of any other place – JIM ROGERS ON AGRICULTURE   In my last post I talked a bit about the most recent developm...
  • Water, Water Everywhere But Not A Drop To Drink- Or Grow Crops
    on Aug 10, 2010 in Food For Thought
      If you can tell me something else where the fundamentals are so attractive…I’d be happy to put my money there, but I don’t know of any other place – JIM ROGERS ON AGRICULTURE   Back in mid December, I had posted a two part series on the a...
  • INSIGHTS: Trader Vic Prepares For Hyperinflation
    on Jul 29, 2010 in Insights
      Victor Sperandeo is a very well respected trader in the Wall St. and Chicago circles. According to Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia, ““Trader Vic,” is a trader, index developer and financial commentator based in Dallas, Texas. He has over 40...
  • INSIGHTS: John Hussman
    on Jul 14, 2010 in Insights
      “Why are the debates in academia so bitter? – Answer:  because the stakes are so low.”   John Hussman of the Hussman Funds has a Ph.D. in economics from Stanford. He used to be a professor of economics and international finance at the Univ...
  • FOOD FOR THOUGHT: The Cloud With A Silver Lining
    on Jul 6, 2010 in Food For Thought
    With all the conflicting forces in the markets today it is difficult to see where real long term value might be hiding. No one is hard pressed for opinions about what to buy or sell, but a large percentage of those opinions are based on short term mo...
  • FOOD FOR THOUGHT: It’s Only Natural
    on Jun 9, 2010 in Food For Thought
        I think it’s time to talk about Natural Gas again. A few months ago I wrote on the possibility that Natural gas was nearing a bottom in spite of the record supplies. On April 1st I wrote: “Everyone hates natural gas right now and rightfully...
  • Outliers, Timing And The Illusion Of Returns (part 2)A perfection of means, and confusion of aims, seems to be our main problem – ALBERT EINSTEIN      In Part one we talked about how outlier events in the markets play such an important role in our final performance, yet how few are really awar...
  • Outliers, Timing, And The Illusion Of Returns  A perfection of means, and confusion of aims, seems to be our main problem – ALBERT EINSTEIN    Malcolm Gladwell in his book Outliers says an “outlier is a scientific term to describe things or phenomena that lie outside the normal exper...
  • The Poison Of Assumption
    on May 18, 2010 in Trading Psychology
    The assumption that seeing is believing makes us susceptible to visual deceptions – KATHLEEN HALL JAMIESON     It is only human nature to make assumptions. In fact we don’t really give it much thought. We just assume our boss is impressed w...
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